Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.239428 1.516639 1.876632 2.395144 3.154153 4.283048 6.225310
2025-12-07 0.884798 1.184742 1.635869 2.421820 3.915495 7.127558 17.162647
2025-12-14 0.693572 0.976819 1.441111 2.355225 4.457692 10.735434 53.801995
2025-12-21 0.582187 0.849753 1.316670 2.327343 5.064499 16.533994 377.942088
2025-12-28 0.531692 0.805692 1.317192 2.550981 6.661165 36.506785 NaN
2026-01-04 0.483054 0.752208 1.280533 2.668307 8.213477 87.685353 NaN
2026-01-11 0.435609 0.690922 1.209666 2.658104 9.333897 222.646192 NaN
2026-01-18 0.392293 0.629947 1.124260 2.564763 9.955250 628.823529 NaN
2026-01-25 0.364919 0.595416 1.089754 2.615607 11.758644 86541.691671 NaN
2026-02-01 0.345489 0.573485 1.079088 2.744573 14.855817 NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.322247 0.540511 1.034564 2.730348 16.834187 NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.298683 0.504079 0.974717 2.630908 17.651520 NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.286180 0.489969 0.970538 2.766529 23.226763 NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.270622 0.467575 0.940663 2.780270 27.571962 NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.253766 0.440617 0.893955 2.695886 29.537567 NaN NaN
2026-03-15 0.240216 0.419637 0.860396 2.661446 33.355195 NaN NaN
2026-03-22 0.236150 0.419239 0.884235 2.934806 56.791295 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.228822 0.410618 0.882809 3.079199 87.196203 NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.218718 0.394617 0.856725 3.066614 109.669628 NaN NaN
2026-04-12 0.207451 0.375005 0.816979 2.951718 115.658281 NaN NaN
2026-04-19 0.200548 0.365090 0.805649 3.014252 173.794747 NaN NaN
2026-04-26 0.195789 0.359807 0.807926 3.173413 370.213603 NaN NaN
2026-05-03 0.188416 0.347652 0.786484 3.155819 553.926488 NaN NaN